AGF Aarhus vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
4º
32
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AGF
3 - 1
VFF
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
BIF
1 - 0
AGF
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
SON
2 - 1
AGF
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
BIF
1 - 2
AGF
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AGF
2 - 2
AAB
33%
24%
42%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
RAN
2 - 2
OBK
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
RAN
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 1
FRE
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
RAN
5 - 1
VEN
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
RAN
3 - 2
VFF
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |