AGF Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
AGF
2 - 2
AAB
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
AGF
1 - 2
BIF
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
AGF
3 - 1
FCN
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
RAN
0 - 1
AGF
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
BIF
2 - 0
FCN
53%
23%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 1
RAN
46%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
AGF
3 - 1
FCN
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 2
FCK
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MID
3 - 0
FCN
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |