AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
6º
6º
59
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 16 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 15 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 14 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 12 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 32% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
BIF
2 - 1
AGF
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 0
FCN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VEJ
3 - 2
AGF
23%
26%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 1
VFF
47%
25%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
RAN
2 - 1
MID
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MID
0 - 2
BIF
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MID
4 - 2
RAN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AAB
1 - 4
MID
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MID
2 - 1
FCN
42%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |