AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
8º
3º
45
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 2
AGF
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 3
AGF
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SSF
0 - 9
AGF
3%
9%
88%
|
81 | 9 | 72 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
AGF
0 - 0
BRA
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
S04
2 - 4
MID
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
60%
21%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MID
2 - 2
SON
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MID
3 - 3
SIF
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |