Danish Superliga Europa League Play-offs Quarter-finals

Global 3-0

AGF Aarhus vs Aalborg BK analysis

AGF Aarhus Aalborg BK
77 ELO 73
3.7% Tilt 14.2%
298º General ELO ranking 541º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
53.6%
AGF Aarhus
23.7%
Draw
22.8%
Aalborg BK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
Aalborg BK
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AGF Aarhus
-16%
-16%
Aalborg BK

ELO progression

AGF Aarhus
Aalborg BK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2019
AAB
Aalborg BK
0 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
33%
25%
41%
77 74 3 0
28 Apr. 2019
AGF
AGF Aarhus
3 - 1
AC Horsens
ACH
68%
20%
13%
78 65 13 -1
21 Apr. 2019
VEJ
Vejle BK
2 - 4
AGF Aarhus
AGF
23%
25%
53%
79 69 10 -1
18 Apr. 2019
AGF
AGF Aarhus
2 - 1
SonderjyskE
SON
57%
23%
21%
78 72 6 +1
15 Apr. 2019
SON
SonderjyskE
0 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
28%
26%
47%
78 72 6 0

Matches

Aalborg BK
Aalborg BK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2019
AAB
Aalborg BK
0 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
33%
25%
41%
74 77 3 0
26 Apr. 2019
AAB
Aalborg BK
1 - 1
Hobro
HOB
55%
24%
21%
75 69 6 -1
22 Apr. 2019
RAN
Randers
0 - 2
Aalborg BK
AAB
39%
28%
34%
75 76 1 0
17 Apr. 2019
AAB
Aalborg BK
1 - 1
Vendsyssel
VEN
47%
26%
27%
75 72 3 0
13 Apr. 2019
VEN
Vendsyssel
1 - 0
Aalborg BK
AAB
33%
27%
40%
75 71 4 0