Agde vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
AGD
2 - 0
NIC
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BOR
3 - 1
AGD
34%
26%
39%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AGD
1 - 0
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 3
AGD
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AGD
0 - 0
FEU
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
AND
3 - 0
GRA
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
NIC
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
GRA
64%
22%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
BOR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |