Afumati vs Înainte Modelu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.5%
1.8%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
1º
30
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afumati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FAC
1 - 0
AFU
11%
17%
72%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RGD
0 - 4
AFU
4%
10%
86%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AFU
4 - 1
AMA
93%
6%
2%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AFU
0 - 2
TUN
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
TUN
3 - 2
AFU
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Înainte Modelu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
IMO
2 - 2
GLO
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 2
DUN
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RGD
1 - 2
IMO
55%
21%
25%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
OLT
0 - 1
IMO
10%
17%
72%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OLT
2 - 3
IMO
8%
15%
78%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |