African Lyon vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
African Lyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AFR
1 - 1
TOT
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
AZA
0 - 1
AFR
63%
22%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
POL
1 - 1
AFR
45%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MTI
2 - 0
AFR
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
AFR
1 - 3
YOU
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
COA
0 - 1
SIM
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
COA
1 - 1
MTI
42%
27%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |