Afogados vs Íbis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 3
AFO
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 2
AFO
21%
23%
57%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AFO
2 - 1
CAT
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
AFO
2 - 0
SED
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
AFO
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Íbis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ISC
5 - 1
FEC
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 2
ISC
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ISC
0 - 2
FEC
37%
22%
40%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ISC
2 - 3
LIM
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
2 - 2
ISC
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |