National League Round 40

AFC Wimbledon vs Wrexham AFC analysis

AFC Wimbledon Wrexham AFC
55 ELO 51
2.9% Tilt 6.8%
2383º General ELO ranking 964º
62º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.6%
AFC Wimbledon
23.7%
Draw
18.7%
Wrexham AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.7%
Win probability
Wrexham AFC
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Wimbledon
+7%
+8%
Wrexham AFC

ELO progression

AFC Wimbledon
Wrexham AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2010
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Rushden & Diamonds
RUS
45%
26%
29%
56 58 2 0
23 Mar. 2010
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Barrow
BAR
57%
24%
20%
57 53 4 -1
13 Mar. 2010
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
67%
20%
13%
57 46 11 0
09 Mar. 2010
CRA
Crawley Town
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
38%
26%
36%
58 53 5 -1
06 Mar. 2010
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Altrincham
ALT
64%
22%
14%
58 50 8 0

Matches

Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2010
WRE
Wrexham AFC
3 - 0
Histon
HIS
38%
27%
35%
50 50 0 0
23 Mar. 2010
GAT
Gateshead
1 - 0
Wrexham AFC
WRE
46%
25%
29%
51 48 3 -1
20 Mar. 2010
WRE
Wrexham AFC
2 - 2
Cambridge United
CAM
34%
29%
38%
50 55 5 +1
16 Mar. 2010
BAR
Barrow
2 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
48%
26%
25%
51 52 1 -1
13 Mar. 2010
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 0
Wrexham AFC
WRE
65%
21%
14%
52 59 7 -1