League Two Round 18

AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon Town analysis

AFC Wimbledon Swindon Town
59 ELO 63
10.2% Tilt 7.1%
2144º General ELO ranking 2733º
59º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
41.2%
AFC Wimbledon
26.1%
Draw
32.7%
Swindon Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.7%
Win probability
Swindon Town
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Wimbledon
+6%
+1%
Swindon Town

ELO progression

AFC Wimbledon
Swindon Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2011
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Scunthorpe United
SCU
41%
24%
36%
59 62 3 0
08 Nov. 2011
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
50%
24%
27%
58 62 4 +1
05 Nov. 2011
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Barnet
BAR
64%
20%
16%
59 51 8 -1
29 Oct. 2011
STF
Shrewsbury Town
0 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
50%
26%
25%
58 63 5 +1
25 Oct. 2011
GUL
Torquay United
4 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
39%
26%
35%
60 57 3 -2

Matches

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2011
SWI
Swindon Town
4 - 1
Huddersfield Town
HUR
25%
24%
51%
61 74 13 0
08 Nov. 2011
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
50%
24%
27%
62 58 4 -1
05 Nov. 2011
POR
Port Vale
0 - 2
Swindon Town
SWI
47%
25%
27%
61 59 2 +1
29 Oct. 2011
SWI
Swindon Town
0 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
68%
20%
12%
61 50 11 0
25 Oct. 2011
SWI
Swindon Town
2 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
49%
25%
27%
60 59 1 +1