AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
GIL
1 - 1
AFC
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 0
LIN
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
LUT
1 - 0
AFC
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 0
AFC
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 3
MIL
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 1
STE
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
STE
1 - 0
ROT
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BPO
2 - 3
STE
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
STE
2 - 1
MKD
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SWA
2 - 2
STE
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |