AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 3
IPS
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
AFC
17%
26%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
AFC
5 - 3
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
SUT
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 2
AFC
37%
27%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
COV
6 - 2
OXF
59%
22%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
OXF
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
OXF
2 - 3
DER
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
OXF
2 - 1
CAM
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
OXF
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |