AFC Wimbledon vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
MKD
2 - 3
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
AFC
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
4 - 1
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
3 - 0
BUR
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BCF
3 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BCF
2 - 0
TRA
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
EXE
2 - 1
BCF
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BCF
3 - 1
BUR
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
BCF
2 - 1
STE
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |