Varndeanians vs Roffey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
PEA
1 - 0
VAR
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 3
VAR
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CRA
4 - 2
VAR
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 2
STC
26%
21%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
TOW
29%
21%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Roffey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 1
RFC
91%
6%
2%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TOW
4 - 0
RFC
89%
8%
3%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
3 - 3
LOX
17%
18%
65%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CRO
3 - 2
RFC
91%
7%
2%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LCO
8 - 2
RFC
90%
8%
3%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |