Combined Counties League Southern Combination League Round 4

Varndeanians vs Loxwood analysis

Varndeanians Loxwood
19 ELO 18
4.8% Tilt -1.7%
16027º General ELO ranking 15999º
847º Country ELO ranking 846º
ELO win probability
51.8%
Varndeanians
20%
Draw
28.2%
Loxwood

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
Varndeanians
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
28.2%
Win probability
Loxwood
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Varndeanians
-11%
-33%
Loxwood

ELO progression

Varndeanians
Loxwood
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varndeanians
Varndeanians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2023
LCO
Little Common
2 - 1
Varndeanians
VAR
72%
16%
13%
19 27 8 0
03 Oct. 2023
CRA
Crawley Down Gatwick
1 - 2
Varndeanians
VAR
86%
9%
5%
18 33 15 +1
30 Sep. 2023
VAR
Varndeanians
0 - 3
Steyning Town
STC
14%
17%
69%
18 38 20 0
16 Sep. 2023
HAS
Hassocks
5 - 0
Varndeanians
VAR
76%
14%
10%
18 29 11 0
09 Sep. 2023
CRO
Crowborough Athletic
3 - 1
Varndeanians
VAR
83%
11%
6%
18 36 18 0

Matches

Loxwood
Loxwood
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2023
LOX
Loxwood
4 - 3
Haywards Heath Town
HAY
15%
19%
66%
16 28 12 0
07 Oct. 2023
AUC
Uckfield Town
2 - 2
Loxwood
LOX
30%
23%
48%
16 14 2 0
30 Sep. 2023
LIN
Lingfield FC
3 - 0
Loxwood
LOX
72%
15%
12%
16 23 7 0
16 Sep. 2023
LOX
Loxwood
1 - 4
Eastbourne Town
TOW
16%
19%
65%
17 31 14 -1
09 Sep. 2023
LOX
Loxwood
2 - 4
Newhaven
NEW
10%
15%
75%
18 36 18 -1