AFC Sudbury vs Witham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
YEL
3 - 1
HEN
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
YEL
5 - 2
SOH
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
YEL
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
YEL
4 - 0
WAR
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SOH
0 - 1
YEL
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Witham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
THU
1 - 2
WHI
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
THA
3 - 2
WHI
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
WRO
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 3
WHI
56%
22%
23%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WHI
1 - 1
BRI
26%
22%
51%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |