AFC Sudbury vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
YEL
5 - 2
SOH
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
YEL
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
YEL
4 - 0
WAR
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SOH
0 - 1
YEL
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
YEL
2 - 6
CRA
57%
21%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 4
HEN
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 2
HEN
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
HEN
0 - 1
HAR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LEI
2 - 0
HEN
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
HEN
1 - 2
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |