AFC Sudbury vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOR
3 - 1
YEL
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
YEL
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
YEL
1 - 3
WAR
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HER
0 - 1
YEL
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
YEL
3 - 0
CHE
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 2
GRA
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 4
HEY
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
GRA
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 6
DER
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
GRA
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |