AFC Sudbury vs Basildon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
BUR
3 - 0
YEL
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
HUL
2 - 0
YEL
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
YEL
2 - 3
DEE
41%
21%
37%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
DEE
2 - 2
YEL
54%
20%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
YEL
4 - 3
ROM
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BIL
1 - 0
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
GRE
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MAL
3 - 0
BAS
89%
8%
4%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
CTF
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
HIS
42%
22%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |