AFC Sudbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 1
CAN
30%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 2
YEL
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 1
NEE
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TON
1 - 0
YEL
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
YEL
0 - 4
BOG
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 1
AVE
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 3
BOW
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 0
AVE
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 0
HOR
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
AVE
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |