AFC Sudbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
YEL
2 - 1
ROM
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
AYL
1 - 2
YEL
32%
24%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
YEL
2 - 2
AYL
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 1
MAL
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
WHI
4 - 1
YEL
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 2
SOH
52%
22%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
AVE
5 - 3
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
AVE
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 3
WAL
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 0
BRE
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |