AFC Sudbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 2
YEL
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
ENF
2 - 4
YEL
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TIL
0 - 1
YEL
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
YEL
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 2
HAR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BUR
3 - 0
AVE
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 2
WHI
58%
23%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 1
AVE
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 0
AVE
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 2
WIN
39%
29%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |