Santa Marta Penaguião vs Macedo Cavaleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta Penaguião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SMP
0 - 1
SMA
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 1
SMP
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 1
SMP
51%
21%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
SMP
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
SMP
3 - 3
AMA
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Macedo Cavaleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
VIL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
TIR
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 4
MAC
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
VIL
40%
23%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |