AFC Mansfield vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
52.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Mansfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 0
MAN
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 3
CLE
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
PIC
1 - 3
MAN
41%
22%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 0
LOU
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
LOU
4 - 1
MAN
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
WIS
1 - 2
PON
17%
18%
65%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
PON
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
STO
0 - 5
PON
26%
20%
54%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PON
4 - 0
WIS
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SPA
7 - 3
PON
15%
18%
67%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -3 |