Kenya Premier League Round 11

AFC Leopards vs Tusker FC analysis

AFC Leopards Tusker FC
59 ELO 64
0.2% Tilt -2.2%
1890º General ELO ranking 1889º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.4%
AFC Leopards
27.1%
Draw
31.4%
Tusker FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
AFC Leopards
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.5%
Win probability
Tusker FC
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Leopards
+8%
+4%
Tusker FC

ELO progression

AFC Leopards
Tusker FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Leopards
AFC Leopards
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2009
AFC
AFC Leopards
0 - 1
Mathare United
MAT
52%
25%
23%
60 59 1 0
18 Apr. 2009
SON
SoNy Sugar
0 - 1
AFC Leopards
AFC
54%
25%
21%
59 62 3 +1
11 Apr. 2009
AFC
AFC Leopards
1 - 1
KCB
KCB
47%
26%
27%
59 61 2 0
04 Apr. 2009
KAR
Karuturi Sport
0 - 0
AFC Leopards
AFC
52%
25%
23%
59 61 2 0
21 Mar. 2009
AFC
AFC Leopards
1 - 2
Agro-Chemical
AGR
50%
26%
24%
60 59 1 -1

Matches

Tusker FC
Tusker FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2009
ULI
Ulinzi Stars
0 - 2
Tusker FC
TUS
50%
26%
24%
62 64 2 0
19 Apr. 2009
TUS
Tusker FC
2 - 1
Thika United
THI
45%
27%
28%
62 64 2 0
11 Apr. 2009
TUS
Tusker FC
1 - 0
Agro-Chemical
AGR
52%
26%
23%
61 60 1 +1
04 Apr. 2009
TUS
Tusker FC
1 - 1
Nairobi City Stars
NAI
49%
26%
25%
61 61 0 0
21 Mar. 2009
CHE
Chemelil Sugar
0 - 0
Tusker FC
TUS
44%
27%
29%
61 60 1 0