Non League Premier Isthmian. Jor. 28

AFC Hornchurch vs Potters Bar Town analysis

AFC Hornchurch Potters Bar Town
46 ELO 34
-5.1% Tilt -7%
3375º General ELO ranking 6117º
115º Country ELO ranking 287º
ELO win probability
68.5%
AFC Hornchurch
19.2%
Draw
12.3%
Potters Bar Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
AFC Hornchurch
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.3%
Win probability
Potters Bar Town
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Hornchurch
+7%
-13%
Potters Bar Town

ELO progression

AFC Hornchurch
Potters Bar Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Hornchurch
AFC Hornchurch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2021
NOT
Notts County
3 - 3
AFC Hornchurch
HOR
69%
19%
12%
45 55 10 0
27 Feb. 2021
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 2
AFC Hornchurch
HOR
46%
25%
30%
44 44 0 +1
06 Feb. 2021
HOR
AFC Hornchurch
5 - 4
Maidstone United
MAI
39%
25%
36%
43 44 1 +1
16 Jan. 2021
HOR
AFC Hornchurch
1 - 1
Kings Lynn Town
KIN
36%
24%
40%
43 43 0 0
19 Dec. 2020
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 2
AFC Hornchurch
HOR
43%
24%
33%
42 39 3 +1

Matches

Potters Bar Town
Potters Bar Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
WOR
Worthing
2 - 1
Potters Bar Town
POT
74%
16%
10%
34 44 10 0
31 Oct. 2020
LEA
Leatherhead
3 - 1
Potters Bar Town
POT
41%
24%
35%
35 34 1 -1
24 Oct. 2020
MER
Merstham
1 - 4
Potters Bar Town
POT
26%
23%
51%
34 24 10 +1
21 Oct. 2020
KIN
Kingstonian
1 - 0
Potters Bar Town
POT
52%
22%
26%
34 36 2 0
17 Oct. 2020
POT
Potters Bar Town
1 - 1
Lewes
LEW
72%
17%
11%
34 21 13 0
X