AFC Hornchurch vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
HAS
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
WEA
2 - 3
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
HOR
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
26%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
TON
1 - 0
KIN
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
KIN
3 - 3
WEA
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
KIN
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
KIN
2 - 1
BIL
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 0
KIN
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |