AFC Dunstable vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HEY
2 - 2
AFD
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
KEM
2 - 1
AFD
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AFD
2 - 2
KID
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BED
1 - 2
AFD
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
AFD
26%
22%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HEY
2 - 2
AFD
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
HEY
1 - 1
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PHO
3 - 0
HEY
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ROY
1 - 4
HEY
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
HEY
2 - 1
GRE
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |