Premier League Round 33

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley analysis

AFC Bournemouth Burnley
82 ELO 83
18.1% Tilt 7.7%
72º General ELO ranking 163º
11º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
52.1%
AFC Bournemouth
22.9%
Draw
25%
Burnley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
AFC Bournemouth
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25%
Win probability
Burnley
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Bournemouth
-3%
+4%
Burnley

ELO progression

AFC Bournemouth
Burnley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2019
LEI
Leicester
2 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
49%
25%
26%
84 86 2 0
16 Mar. 2019
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
56%
22%
22%
83 82 1 +1
09 Mar. 2019
HUR
Huddersfield Town
0 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
20%
24%
56%
82 70 12 +1
02 Mar. 2019
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
13%
19%
69%
82 92 10 0
27 Feb. 2019
ARS
Arsenal
5 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
68%
19%
14%
82 88 6 0

Matches

Burnley
Burnley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2019
BUR
Burnley
2 - 0
Wolves
WOL
45%
27%
28%
83 83 0 0
16 Mar. 2019
BUR
Burnley
1 - 2
Leicester
LEI
30%
26%
44%
83 85 2 0
10 Mar. 2019
LIV
Liverpool
4 - 2
Burnley
BUR
80%
14%
6%
82 91 9 +1
02 Mar. 2019
BUR
Burnley
1 - 3
Crystal Palace
CRY
36%
27%
38%
82 84 2 0
26 Feb. 2019
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 0
Burnley
BUR
40%
26%
34%
83 81 2 -1