AFC Arhem vs SWZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DEB
2 - 1
ARH
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ROH
2 - 2
ARH
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARH
1 - 3
MSC
39%
24%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARH
0 - 1
SCN
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JUL
3 - 1
ARH
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SWZ
5 - 0
ROH
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 2
SWZ
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SWZ
2 - 0
SCN
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 2
SWZ
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MSC
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |