PDL USA Central conference Round 1

AFC Ann Arbor vs Kalamazoo FC analysis

AFC Ann Arbor Kalamazoo FC
44 ELO 43
-5.3% Tilt -1.3%
6344º General ELO ranking 6802º
108º Country ELO ranking 119º
ELO win probability
37.9%
AFC Ann Arbor
25.3%
Draw
36.8%
Kalamazoo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
AFC Ann Arbor
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.8%
Win probability
Kalamazoo FC
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Ann Arbor
+23%
-27%
Kalamazoo FC

Points and table prediction

AFC Ann Arbor
Their league position
Kalamazoo FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
22º
15
14º
21º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chicago City
30
33
88%
Fort Wayne
32
32
88%
Flint City Bucks
31
31
95.5%
Des Moines Menace
30
30
100%
Thunder Bay Chill
29
29
100%
RKC
25
25
100%
Cleveland Force
20
20
100%
AFC Ann Arbor
19
19
0%
Toledo Villa
19
19
0%
Peoria
10º
18
18
10º
0%
Manitoba
11º
18
18
11º
0%
St. Charles
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Oakland County
13º
16
16
13º
0%
St. Croix
14º
16
16
14º
0%
Lansing City
15º
16
16
15º
100%
Midwest United
16º
15
15
16º
0%
Kalamazoo FC
17º
15
15
17º
0%
Rochester
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Kings Hammer Cincinnati
21º
10
13
19º
52%
Wichita
19º
12
12
20º
52%
Minneapolis City
20º
12
12
21º
52%
Dayton Dutch Lions
22º
9
9
22º
0%
Chicago Dutch Lions
23º
9
9
23º
22.5%
Buffalo
24º
7
7
24º
75%
Springfield ASC
25º
6
6
25º
100%
Bavarian United
26º
5
5
26º
100%
Michiana FC
27º
4
4
27º
100%
Expected probabilities
AFC Ann Arbor
Kalamazoo FC
100% 100%

ELO progression

AFC Ann Arbor
Kalamazoo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Ann Arbor
AFC Ann Arbor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2022
AAA
AFC Ann Arbor
3 - 0
Midwest United
MUF
82%
12%
6%
41 23 18 0
10 Jul. 2022
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
2 - 2
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
51%
24%
25%
41 45 4 0
09 Jul. 2022
MIC
Flint City Bucks
2 - 0
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
78%
15%
8%
42 54 12 -1
03 Jul. 2022
AAA
AFC Ann Arbor
1 - 1
Lansing City
LCF
77%
14%
9%
42 28 14 0
30 Jun. 2022
AAA
AFC Ann Arbor
1 - 1
Flint City Bucks
MIC
12%
17%
71%
42 55 13 0

Matches

Kalamazoo FC
Kalamazoo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2022
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
2 - 2
Kings Hammer Cincinnati
KHA
47%
25%
28%
45 43 2 0
16 Jul. 2022
OAK
Oakland County
2 - 4
Kalamazoo FC
KAL
29%
24%
47%
44 35 9 +1
10 Jul. 2022
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
2 - 2
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
51%
24%
25%
45 41 4 -1
09 Jul. 2022
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
2 - 1
Midwest United
MUF
83%
11%
5%
45 22 23 0
26 Jun. 2022
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
4 - 1
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
43%
26%
32%
43 44 1 +2