AFC '34 vs De Zouaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 3
AFC
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SOE
2 - 0
AFC
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
HOO
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 3
AFC
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALP
3 - 2
AFC
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEZ
2 - 2
VSV
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DEZ
6 - 1
FOR
62%
18%
20%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALP
1 - 2
DEZ
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DEZ
0 - 1
DEM
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VVI
0 - 0
DEZ
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |