Afan Lido vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
NEW
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LID
1 - 3
LLA
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
4 - 3
LID
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LID
0 - 2
BAL
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 2
LID
79%
14%
8%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CON
0 - 5
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
CON
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
ABE
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
CON
70%
17%
12%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 6
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |