Afan Lido vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 3
LID
6%
10%
85%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
YAF
2 - 1
LID
20%
18%
62%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
TAF
2 - 0
LID
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
8 - 3
LID
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 1
LID
34%
23%
43%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -5 |
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 0
ABB
73%
15%
12%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ABB
0 - 3
CON
2%
7%
91%
|
15 | 71 | 56 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ABB
4 - 3
LLA
11%
15%
75%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ABB
3 - 1
PFC
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |