AFAD vs Stella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2011 |
AFA
0 - 0
JCA
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AFA
2 - 1
ASE
49%
29%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
STA
1 - 1
AFA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
HIR
2 - 1
AFA
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
AFA
0 - 0
STE
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
STE
2 - 2
OUR
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
DEN
0 - 0
STE
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
STE
2 - 0
SAB
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ISS
2 - 0
STE
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
STE
0 - 1
BAS
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |