AFAD vs Moossou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AFA
4 - 1
AFR
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 0
AFA
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
AFA
1 - 1
SPO
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
AFA
1 - 1
YOP
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AFA
1 - 2
JCA
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moossou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MOO
0 - 0
STA
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
MOO
2 - 2
SEW
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ASE
2 - 0
MOO
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
JCA
2 - 2
MOO
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
YOP
1 - 0
MOO
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |