AFAD vs Denguelé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TAN
1 - 0
AFA
45%
29%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SOA
1 - 0
AFA
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
AFA
1 - 1
BOU
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AFA
2 - 1
STA
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SEW
3 - 2
AFA
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Denguelé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SOA
0 - 1
DEN
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 0
TAN
38%
30%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 1
SPO
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AFR
1 - 0
DEN
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
BOU
1 - 2
DEN
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |