CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-3
AFAD vs Cotonsport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
AFA
0 - 0
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 1
AFA
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DIA
1 - 1
AFA
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
STE
0 - 1
AFA
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AFA
5 - 1
DIA
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cotonsport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COT
2 - 0
YOU
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
URA
0 - 0
COT
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 2
COT
46%
29%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
COT
0 - 0
URA
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
COT
1 - 0
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |