AFAD vs ASEC Mimosas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MOO
0 - 1
AFA
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
3 - 0
AFA
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AFA
1 - 0
SAP
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
AFA
1 - 1
LYS
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
AFA
2 - 1
TAN
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ASEC Mimosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
WAC
1 - 0
ASE
33%
30%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ASE
0 - 0
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ASE
0 - 0
SUN
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ASE
2 - 0
ABE
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
SUN
3 - 1
ASE
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |