AF Virois vs FC Flérien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
9º
2º
29
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AFV
1 - 0
PON
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 3
AFV
28%
23%
50%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AFV
1 - 1
USF
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 4
AFV
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AFV
1 - 0
ERG
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 4
FLE
54%
21%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 2
PON
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 1
FLE
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 2
VAN
35%
22%
44%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
FLE
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |