AEK Larnaca vs Alki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 1
ANO
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AEL
2 - 0
AEK
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 0
ARI
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
ALK
2 - 2
AEK
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
AEK
4 - 0
ENO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 0
ALK
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALK
2 - 1
APO
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 3
ALK
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
ALK
2 - 2
AEK
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PAF
0 - 6
ALK
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |