Europa League Grupo B. Jor. 4

AEK Athens vs Olympique Marseille analysis

AEK Athens Olympique Marseille
81 ELO 85
4% Tilt -2.7%
281º General ELO ranking 86º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.1%
AEK Athens
25.2%
Draw
37.7%
Olympique Marseille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
AEK Athens
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.7%
Win probability
Olympique Marseille
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AEK Athens
+14%
-4%
Olympique Marseille

ELO progression

AEK Athens
Olympique Marseille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
KIF
Kifisia
1 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
12%
22%
66%
82 58 24 0
30 Oct. 2023
AEK
AEK Athens
2 - 0
PAOK
PAO
48%
24%
28%
82 82 0 0
26 Oct. 2023
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
53%
23%
24%
82 84 2 0
22 Oct. 2023
TRI
Asteras Tripolis
0 - 3
AEK Athens
AEK
18%
25%
57%
82 66 16 0
08 Oct. 2023
AEK
AEK Athens
3 - 0
Panaitolikos
PGE
79%
15%
6%
82 57 25 0

Matches

Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
MAR
Olympique Marseille
0 - 0
Lille
LIL
46%
25%
28%
85 86 1 0
26 Oct. 2023
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
53%
23%
24%
84 82 2 +1
21 Oct. 2023
NIC
Nice
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
36%
27%
37%
85 83 2 -1
08 Oct. 2023
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
Le Havre
LHA
73%
18%
9%
84 70 14 +1
05 Oct. 2023
MAR
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
15%
21%
63%
84 92 8 0
X