Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
AEK Athens vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
AEK
1 - 0
ARI
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
HAL
2 - 0
AEK
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
AEK
0 - 1
PAN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAN
2 - 1
AEK
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AEK
4 - 0
IRA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
IRA
0 - 3
PAN
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PAN
3 - 0
IRA
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
IRA
2 - 1
AIG
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
IRA
2 - 1
ION
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AEK
4 - 0
IRA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |