UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 5-1
AEK Athens vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
AEK
0 - 0
PAO
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 2
AEK
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
AEK
0 - 0
XAN
61%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
AEK
0 - 3
OLP
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
HOM
0 - 0
FAL
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 2
AEK
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
SIR
0 - 0
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |