UCL Qualifying Playoffs Final
Global 1-3
AEK Athens vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
PAN
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 0
AEK
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 2
DZG
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 2
AEK
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
AEK
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 0
AEK
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
LEU
1 - 1
ANT
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ANT
6 - 0
KVK
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AND
1 - 0
ANT
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 0
CER
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |