AE Garibaldi vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
76.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Garibaldi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AIM
1 - 0
AEG
78%
15%
7%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
AEG
2 - 1
SAP
12%
16%
72%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
AEG
1 - 1
ESP
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -19 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
AEG
73%
18%
10%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 2
AEG
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SAP
0 - 1
NOV
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
5 - 0
UHA
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 8 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 3
ECS
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
AIM
2 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |