Franciacorta vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FAN
1 - 1
ADR
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ADR
3 - 2
SAV
67%
17%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 1
ADR
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 1
COR
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
ADR
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 6
BRE
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 2
COR
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAV
0 - 0
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
FIO
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
ALF
42%
22%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |