Franciacorta vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
62.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 1
ADR
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADR
4 - 0
CLA
72%
16%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PSM
2 - 2
ADR
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADR
1 - 4
FAN
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
4 - 1
ADR
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
PAV
16%
19%
66%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PAV
23%
23%
53%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PAV
2 - 0
REG
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 2
PAV
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |