Costa Rica Promotion - Apertura Semi-finals
Jicaral Sercoba vs San Carlos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jicaral Sercoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
JFC
1 - 4
ADR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ADR
2 - 0
ESC
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 2
ADR
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
COF
1 - 2
ADR
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ADR
5 - 0
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
JFC
1 - 4
ADR
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
JFC
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
JFC
4 - 1
SPO
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JFC
2 - 4
ESC
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OSA
1 - 2
JFC
27%
25%
47%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |